Good news on unemployment; wages not so much…

Green Escrow Services | Work force

As the unemployment dropped to its lowest rate since 1969 – 3.7 percent – wages only increased 0.2 percent after inflation. This is not considered the norm as when the jobless rate reaches 4 percent – considered full employment – real wages generally climb faster than inflation.

One explanation is that the unemployment rate only accounts for those actively looking for work; it does not include those “discouraged workers.” When looked at in this light the percentage of the population ages 25 to 64 that is working is still lower than it was in 2007 and considerably lower than in 2000.

One ramification of this dichotomy is that while consumer spending is increasing at a fast pace, incomes are not, forcing consumers to borrow more and save less.

Inflation, Wages & Prices

Green Escrow Services | American economy

The current state of the residential real estate market is marked by three factors: inflation, wages, and the price of homes. Currently inflation is rising at 2.9% (U.S. Labor Department); wage growth is up 3.2% (Federal Reserve Bank); and home prices are up 6.9% (S&P CoreLogic Case – Shiller). So while inflation and wages are increasing at approximately the same right, home prices are rising over two times as fast. This means, of course, that prices are continually pushing homes out of reach or more and more potential homebuyers.

Ideally, supply and demand will come more into balance. While homes will still be out of reach for many, hopefully wage growth and home prices will run closer to parallel. Analysts will also continue to be concerned about inflation which will effect the amount of income available for home purchases.